Today's Decision: Hold Long Positions
Strategy Update:
Our Market Environment Model is Positive this morning.
As always, we will send a Trade Alert via email BEFORE we make a move.
For more information and complete details about the Daily Decision Service, head to the Daily Decision Resource Page Market Outlook:
The bulls received a shot in the arm this morning from both the Chinese and the Europeans. And in the early going, it looks like stocks will advance to fresh all-time highs at the open. However, we need to keep in mind that the market has run a long way in a very short period of time and therefore we must be on the lookout for what is called an abrupt rally failure. But with performance anxiety being high and the calendar running out of pages, one could argue that the current melt-up will continue. We shall see. But for now, our market models remain positive.
Looking at the Charts... As the saying goes, the most bullish thing a market can do is make new highs. Yet on the other sideline, the bears may be huddling to try and find some way to make a defensive stop. Our furry friends do have an overbought condition on their side. But the bottom line is the bear camp has been unable to do anything with the opportunities they have had recently. This is not to say that this trend will continue, but at this stage, the technicals tell us to lean bullish.
S&P 500 - Last 3 Months
Have a great day!
David D. Moenning
The upgraded management system uses swing trading, mean reversion, and trend identification strategies, moves incrementally, and employs multiple managers.
To learn more about the "NextGen" system, read the Research Report.
Current Positions:
Main Model: 34% ProShares UltraPro S&P 500 (UPRO) - Effective Net Position: 100% Long S&P 500
Hybrid Model: 67% ProShares UltraPro S&P 500 (UPRO) - Effective Net Position: 200% Long S&P 500
Aggressive Model: 100% ProShares UltraPro S&P 500 (UPRO) - Effective Net Position: 300% Long S&P 500
Daily Decision Model Portfolios Explained New to the Daily Decision?
Our current "New Member Rating" is: Buy
Current Market Environment Model Reading:
Today's Risk Model Reading:
Positive
Market Environment Model Explained
Daily Decision System Performance:
Below is a summary of the cumulative returns of the three Daily Decision strategies since we began issuing signals in 2009.
The Daily Decision Service Live Performance Results From 1/1/2009 | |||||
Period |
Main Model |
Hybrid Model |
Aggressive Model |
Barclay Equity Long/Short Hedge Fund Index* |
S&P 500 Index |
2009 | +63.51% | +204.78% | +161.00% | +14.42% | +23.45% |
2010 | +20.58% | +33.43% | +61.20% | +7.27% | +12.78% |
2011 | -4.58% | -7.42% | -26.80% | -4.58% | -0.00% |
2012 | +9.81% | +8.14% | +16.47% | +6.35% | +13.41% |
2013 | +19.78% | +27.27% | +44.34% | +13.85% | +29.60% |
2014 (YTD) | +7.23% | +11.77% | +11.52% | +1.66%* | +11.06% |
Cumulative Total Return: |
+165.35% | +479.18% | +477.39 | +44.16* | +127.26% |
Average Annual Return: (2009 - 2013) | +19.87% Per Year |
+38.96% Per Year |
+38.94% Per Year |
+6.83% Per Year |
+15.19% Per Year |
* Updated Monthly | |||||
Click Here for Interactive Performance Details
Backtested Performance Information - Includes Returns for the Adaptive System Currently Being Employed
For more information and complete details about the Daily Decision Service, head to the Daily Decision Resource Page
Read Disclaimer for The Daily Decision Service
The analysis and information in this report and on our website is for informational purposes only. No part of the material presented in this report or on our websites is intended as an investment recommendation or investment advice. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed nor any Portfolio constitutes a solicitation to purchase or sell securities or any investment program. The opinions and forecasts expressed are those of the editors and may not actually come to pass. The opinions and viewpoints regarding the future of the markets should not be construed as recommendations of any specific security nor specific investment advice. Investors should always consult an investment professional before making any investment.