Weekly Notes for Jan 26th-30th, 2015

*Important* The Morning Profit Maker service will be moving to UndergroundTrader.com permanently by February 1st, 2015 and no longer be on Marketfy.com.

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Hi All,

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SPY rallied on Mario Draghi rollout plans of ECB QE program kicking off in March 2015 to Sept 2016 at $60 billion a month. The 106.20 level proved to be a very solid resistance on Friday. The 106.42 is the recent swing high resistance. Greek elections are the next market event to keep an eye on. The daily 50 period ma support sits at 204.77 overlapping with the 204.94 fib area with 5 period moving average at 203.56 overlapping with the 203.50 fib. If bulls can’t break through that 106.50s-106.70s resistance area, then SPY may test the daily 5 period ma, where a bounce there can trigger a mini pup.

Key fibs and market structure levels on the SPY are at 212.67, 209.74, 207.86, 206.58, 206.42-swing high, 204.94, 204.72, 204.24, 203.50, 202.73- MSL gap fill, 201.94, 198.61 fib, 196.58

Earnings go hard and heavy this week with many bellweathers. SPY has a nominal retracement possible to the daily 5 period ma and then will be truly tested to see if a mini pup can form back up through the 106.42 swing high. Looking for initial reversion and then grind if the 5 period ma can hold this week. The big earnings stocks will make an impact.

<> Stocks to Watch <> : A lot of these are contingent on the SPY. If SPY forms daily mini inv pups, then SCRATCH the LONGS or cut down to shorter time frames. To be safe, make sure that the 60 min stochastics peaks out before taking short positions and short the RETEST FAILURES of the short area bumpers listed. DO NOT SHORT RIGHT INTO THE FIRST TEST if the 60 min is in a mini pup grind up. Get the 15/5 min to slip and 60 min to STALL at least on the stochastics and then position with a good 1 min stochs reversal down. Remember all stocks are anchored by the action of the SPY (or noodles) and contingent on the SPY movement unless there is a strong fade effect in place. * Don’t play breakout longs if the SPY is in a breakdown and vice versa *

*** Most stocks are mirroring the SPY intraday as well as daily. Therefore, track the SPY closely. Make note if your stocks are diverging or not as this could mean it’s a laggard that will ultimately revert to SPY or a fader that will magnify the move once the SPY reverses.


CHK Long – CHK has a daily mini pup with 5period ma support at 19.45. Longs trigger on pullbacks to the 19.40s-19.20s with a -.37 trail stop for upside to retest daily 50 period ma 19.95 and secondary targets at the 20.40-20.60 area.

PEP Long – PEP formed a daily pup and mini pup. Longs trigger on pullbacks to the daily 5 period ma 98.15-98 area for coil back towards daily upper bbs at 100.30 area with a trail under 97.30.

INFN Short – INFN had a massive gap on Friday on earnings. Daily upper bbs at 16.51. Shorts trigger on a 16.79 break for tightening back to the 15.79 fib area with a 17.33 trail stop.

Key Long/Short Bumper and Fibonacci levels:

LVS – 55.18 super fib

SPY – 212.67, 209.74, 207.86, 204.90, 204.24, 203.50, 201.94, 198.62, 195.81, 191.05

FSLR – 51.74, 42.84 fibs

GPRO- 71.78, 63.54, 55.31, 43.50

BABA – 115.17, 111.09, 108.21, 103.24, 99.70, 98.21, 96.90. 94.70, 93.1591.61, 89.40, 88.10 – key fibs

YHOO- 53.85, 50.77, 47.68, 45.82, 44.59, 42.05, 41.01, 40.10, 38.57, 37.50, 36.42 – key fibs

AAPL- 117.20, 111.32, 109.39, 107.17, 104.59, 103.17, 101.92, 101.04, 99.29, 98.69, 98.08- key fibs.

FB- 80.60, 78.66, 77.57, 76.72, 7636, 75,.53, 7512, 74.78, 73.97, 72.78 – key fibs

TWTR- 51.19, 50.51, 48.82, 47.95, 47.63, 45.38 – key fibs 

Earnings Reports This Week:

Mon: premarket: GWW, STX, DHI: postmarket: PKG, RMBS, TXN, ZION, MSFT, MSTR, PCL, SANM, PSEM, SIMO, ASH

Tues: premarket: ISCA, DOV, BTU, LMT, UTX, AAL, CAT, MMM, BMY, PG, COH, GLW, PFE, ABMD, AKS, OSK: postmarket: AAPL, ILMN, ACE, VMW, YHOO, FTK, OTEX, T, FSL, JNPR, EA, BBOX, TRMK, WDC, X, JNPR, EZPW, ARAY, DOX

Wed: premarket: EAT, BA, EMC,ACAT, ADPT, RDWR, ADPT, STM, HES, ABC, HTCH, ADT: postmarket: LVS, CTXS, FTNT, MLNX, NOW, TER, TSCO, SHOR, SWFT, GGP, AZPN, AMP, EXTR, FB, CAVM, CACI, CGI, CRUS, FLEX, ISIL, QTM, SGI, ESIO, QCOM, IGT

Thurs: premarket: BAX, BEAV, HOG, ABT, CHKP, CAM, DGX, JBLU, OSTK, PENN, POT, RCL, RCI, CL, F,KEM, LLL, BABA, VLO, VIAB: postmarket: GOOG, QLGC, ABAX, BRCM, EFII, RHI, AMZN, CTCT, DECK, ELY, GIMO, INFA, MRCL, N, PFG, RVBD, SYNA, MTW, PMCS, HLIT, INVN, SWI, WYNN, HBI, JDSU, SIGI, V, VR, ELX, EPAY, GDOT, KFX, MCHP, SIMG, TUES, SPRT, CORT, DHT, MATW, NGVC, AVNW

Fri: premarket: MAT, IR, XRX, LLY, IDXX, LEA, GHM, MA, MO, WY, ABBV, CVX, LM, MGIC, BZH, TYC, TSN

We’ve got a lot of bellweathers this week. That will be out main focus.  Please make sure you are registered at undergroundtrader.com this week as we will not longer be on Marketfy due to technical issues. This will be the LAST weekly report sent out through marketfy.  If you wish to continue recieving weekly reports then sign up for the email list on undergroundtrader.com.   Cheers! - J

 *Important*The Morning Profit Maker service will be moving to UndergroundTrader.com permanently by February 1st, 2015 and no longer be on Marketfy.com.

Current members who have not registered should do so immediately at www.undergroundtrader.com/freetrial/ so they can be upgraded. Anyone considering membership may also apply there. We will continue to honor the $199 price rate for existing and new members that register by Feb 1st, 2015.

Existing members who have already registered, the billing and services will continue as usual at your current rate. Charges will appear as Undergroundtrader on your credit card. Please send any questions to jeayu21@gmail.com

Posted to Morning Profit Maker on Jan 25, 2015 — 2:01 PM
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